Time to Jump in and Buy Real Estate Again!

San Francisco By The Bay

In an article posted on CnnMoney, on March 28th, titled “Real estate: It’s time to buy again,” Shawn Tully, senior editor, states; “Forget stocks. Don’t bet on gold. After four years of plunging home prices, the most attractive asset class in America is housing.”

This is a compelling article, with an optimistic overview on the housing market well worth the read!

This following quote lays the foundation and leads to an insightful argument in favor of recovery in the housing market.

If all the noise you’re hearing about housing has you totally confused, join the crowd. One day you’ll read that owning a home has never been more affordable. The next day you’ll see news that housing starts have plunged to nearly their lowest level in half a century, as headlines announced in March. After four years of falling prices and surging foreclosures, it’s hard to know what to think. Even Robert Shiller and Karl Case can’t agree. The two economists, who together created the widely followed S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price indices, are right now offering sharply contrasting views of housing’s future. Shiller recently warned that the chances were high for a further double-digit drop in U.S. home prices. But in an interview with Fortune, Case took a far brighter view: “The lack of new home building is a huge help that a lot of people are ignoring,” says Case. “People think I’m crazy to be optimistic, but housing is looking like the little engine that could.”

flickr photo credit Jitze Couperus Used under a creative commons license.

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  • A. Lewis

    Well, I think in many parts of America, prices have dropped so low, overshooting the longterm trend, that it could be safe to say it’s a good time to buy. But since you and I live in the rarefied air of the Bay Area, you know we’re nothing like the national averages. So I don’t think your headline is very helpful to folks in the Bay Area. It’s certainly cheap in some neighborhoods, but still obviously over-priced and ripe for a fall in others. People need a lot of research and data into their local neighborhood, not a blanket statement that ‘now is a good time to buy!’. Thanks for all your work.

  • Glen Bell

    Actually, that’s the title of the article and there are compelling arguements that make sense. You are right about the Bay Area, it’s definitely different! Whenever I read articles based in general perspectives like this one I always have to remind myself that markets are local. However, not only on a city basis but neighborhoods within cities. We’re also seeing different things in different price ranges. For example in the East Bay, we’re seeing homes in the lower priced ranges relatively stable with more competition probably due to the large number of first time buyers and investors looking to cash flow. However, in many of the higher priced areas, even neighborhoods that have historically withstood downward pressures, we’re now seeing a further reduction in values over the past 6 to 9 months. There are less “move-up” buyers due to a reduction in equity of their existing homes, plus the many challenges that buyers are now facing with lending. Thanks again for your comments!

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