Here’s the latest East Bay Numbers.

REO inventory is being depleted without replenishment, more buyers and investors are coming into the market, and escrows are now taking longer due in part to appraisal changes, underwriting overload, and in general a slower process with bank owned properties.

I’ve been tracking 38 cities in the East Bay for over four years now. This is the lowest inventory I’ve seen, the highest pending/over active ratio, and month’s supply is near the levels of mid 2005.

We’re now into our fourth month showing this trend. It’s really become a seller’s market in many areas.

I’ve attached my spreadsheet for your review and also included a summary I wrote two months ago on the dramatic changes taking place in our market place.

We’ve anticipated that this “window” may be just that with all the indications of more foreclosures coming onto the market. However, that hasn’t taken place yet. In the meantime we have buyers scrambling for fewer properties.

[click to view full size pdf]

Glen_s Numbers 6.30.090001.pdf (1 page)

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Looks like more of the same. Inventories dropping, pendings have gone up, months supply is dropping. I think we’re seeing a trend over the last 3 months, REOs are less of a factor in listings, while short sales have increased. More buyers than sellers, and at the highest pending over active ratio since July, 2005.

We’re hearing June/July for more foreclosures to come onto the market. Let’s see how June pans out.

Glen_s Numbers 20090531

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How’s That For a Downward Revision?

May 8, 2009

The California Association of Realtors’ housing forecast now calls for a 28.4% drop in the median price of a California house.
That compares to a projected drop of just 6% originally expected when the association first unveiled its 2009 forecast in October.
via Realtors see ballooning Calif. house-price drops - Lansner on Real Estate - OCRegister.com.

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Zillow COO Spencer Rascoff was on CNBC this morning talking about the shadow inventory and the negative equity situations that are looming over the market as it tries to stabilize itself.
Internally, we’ve been discussing the shadow inventory among the bank owned, or REO, properties for a quite some time now, but somehow overlooked the segment [...]

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East Bay Housing Statistics Show Dramatic Changes

May 5, 2009

Local markets have been in transition for sometime in regards to REO inventory. However, it was a surprise to us on just how quickly the San Francisco East Bay market has changed in the last 30 days. Are we seeing the first signs of a market stabilizing? Are we hitting bottom in the San Francisco [...]

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The “Blog” of “Unnecessary” Quotation Marks: “not” a ponzi scheme

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from:Calculated Risk: Citi: Net Credit Losses Rising Rapidly

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